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Tuesday, July 11, 2006
O.J. Mayo and Billy Walker to Challenge NBA Age Restriction? ESPN's Chad Ford has an excellent and extensive piece on two amateur players who may put the new NBA age restriction to the test next year: O.J. Mayo (right) and Billy Walker (left), the top two high school seniors in the country. Both players are one year older than a traditional high school senior and, for different reasons, if they decide to drop out of high school and not graduate, they could argue that they "would have graduated" this year. If successful in that argument, they would then be eligible for next year's NBA Draft, since according to the new CBA between the NBA and NBPA, an American amateur player must be at least 19 years-old on December 31 of the year of the NBA Draft (both Mayo and Walker would be in 2007) and that at least one NBA season must have passed from when he graduated from high school, or when his graduating class graduated from high school, and the NBA Draft. If eligible, both would likely be lottery picks, with Mayo possibly going second overall, right after Greg Oden.Walker has the stronger case for arguing that he "would have graduated in 2006" because the Ohio High School Athletic Association just announced that he should have been a senior this past year. Why? Because a transcript error that resulted from transfering between different schools caused his credits to be counted incorrectly. So according to the Ohio High School Athletic Association (which obviously has no stake in whether Walker can turn pro), Walker has completed four years of high school and four years of high school basketball. Mayo's claim is based on the fact that he was held back a year early in his schooling, and would have graduated in 2006 but for that, and that he has played high school ball since he was in the 7th grade. Ford interviews Tim Frank of the NBA and me for the story. Perhaps not surprisingly, we don't agree on whether the players (and especially Walker) should be eligible: NBA spokesman Tim Frank said that he believes neither player is eligible for the 2007 draft.We then discussed the implications of either Mayo or Walker bringing a lawsuit, and the applicability of Clarett v. NFL in that lawsuit: "Unlike when Maurice Clarett challenged the NFL's age eligibility rule, Walker's lawsuit would enjoy empirical data showing that prep-to-pro players have, on average, performed better than any other age group to enter the NBA," said McCann.As a separate matter, we also discussed the legal implications of why 19-year old international players are able to more easily enter the NBA Draft than are 19-year old American players. While both groups of players must be at least 19 by December 31 of the year of the draft, the international players do not have a one-year waiting period after high school.
This will be a very interesting to story to watch. Ford's article also states that while both Mayo and Walker presently intend to attend college, they would rather go to the NBA directly if possible. The article addresses other topics as well, and is well worth a read (and I strongly recommend ESPN Insider if you don't yet subscribe, especially since you also get ESPN The Magazine). On three separate notes: 1) thanks to Michael Ryan of Bearcat News for his excellent insight earlier in the day; 2) thanks to Jeff Clark of the highly-addictive Celtics Blog, who wrote a nice posting about the ESPN article on the equally-highly-addictive True Hoop; and 3) since the ESPN article is bringing us a large number of new visitors today, welcome to our blog! 37 Comments:
This is what the rule change was made for and I really hope the NBA stands firm on this. Being held back doesn't count as an excuse to be eligble for the draft. Do you know how many prospects around the country each year that would make eliible? Have we forgotten the point of prep schools in the first place?
I think the fact that Mayo was playing high school ball in 7th grade says more about what the school though about his basketball talent than his class.
Thank you both for these excellent comments.
It seems to me that the NBA is skirting the fundamental issue of importance, namely that of what constitutes an appropriate barometer and indicator of future NBA success; age or education.
This rule isn't about maturity or education. The league wants it in place so that they don't need to spend millions scouting high school players in hundreds of high schools across all the 50 states. It's also less risky (overall) if the clubs get to see the players in college playing against much better competition than high school competition. So the league is definitely going to fight this because, otherwise, it will set a precedent for high school players avoiding having to go to college for a year.
Wow, some more great comments. Thanks guys.
Something I was thinking about earlier when I emailed Professor McCann - my question regards scouting.
Michael and Satchmo,
Rick,
Michael,
So if a HS player dropped out after his Jr year and obtained a GED over the summer (a type of HS diploma), he still could not enter the NBA draft so long as his age... meet the current criteria?
Rick,
Blazer Prophet,
Prof. McCann,
PK,
Regarding the single-entity defense, a league should be considered a single entity when another league or another form of entertainment is alleging that the league did something anti-competitive because the league competes against them for the consumer dollar. But a league should not be considered a single entity when a player is alleging that the league did something anti-competitive because the league isn't in competition with the players. To me it's a strange concept to argue that the defense should protect anti-competitive behavior directed towards individuals that it doesn't compete against.
Prof. Karcher,
PK,
Prof. Karcher,
PK,
PK,
Prof. Karcher,
PK,
I'm going with PK on all these issues for no other reason that it is impairing the sleeping patterns of RK and causing MM to write blogs entries the length of law review articles.
Prof. Karcher,
PK,
RK says,"are likely to sit on the bench for the first couple of years." What?
Anonymous,
After watching both A.J. Mayo and Billy Walker on tape, I realized that this is a perfect case of why the rule was made. Mayo is the 1% that can go straight to the NBA and be perfectly fine. Walker just isn't quite ready. I know if you read about him he sounds amazing but watch tape of him and you can see plenty of missing components. I hope for the Walker's sake he gets denied the option of going straight to the draft because he just simply isn't ready.
Prof. Karcher,
PK,
i have a story about the NBA age restriction. my story is called the minimum age draft for the NBA has just changed.
Personally, I think the limit isn't enough. One year to me is like a slap in the face to the fan. It's saying "Here's what you could have. But guess what, it's going to be gone at the end of the year. Sit there and wonder what if." People will like to talk about other reason why the league has been declining in domestic popularity, but I think you can look at the college game. Over the last few years, it's looked pretty weak as far as overall talent goes. Games have gotten less dynamic and the magnitude of high school players that have left to go straight to the NBA has seriously hurt college basketball.
Something I was thinking about earlier when I emailed Professor McCann - my question regards scouting.
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Rusya
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